February 19. 2019

Venezuela and the Pitfalls of a Petrostate

The recent political crisis in Venezuela has flooded the news with images of violent protests, humanitarian disasters, and military convoys blocking aid to refugees. The story of Venezuela is tragic: once considered the strongest economy and democracy in Latin America, […]
January 10. 2019

Trends We’re Watching in 2019

As analysts, we know that making predictions is a tricky exercise that does not always pan out. Still, it is our role to anticipate future developments in a changing world, not to mention fun to try a little forecasting at […]
January 1. 2019

Looking Back at 2018: Is Toxic the New Normal?

2018 will go down in history as a toxic year.  That designation is courtesy of Oxford Dictionaries, which annually selects one word to reflect “the ethos, mood, or preoccupations” of the previous 12 months.  The dictionary publisher selected toxic because […]
November 20. 2018

Tracking Domestic Extremist Groups

The mail bomb campaign perpetrated by Cesar Sayoc and the mass shooting committed by Robert Bowers in Philadelphia are a stark reminder that the threat of domestic right-wing violence is growing. In the aftermath of 9/11, the majority of government […]
October 16. 2018

Chinese Chip Infiltration

On October 4, Bloomberg Businessweek released an in-depth report detailing China’s cyber infiltration of nearly 30 U.S. companies utilizing microchips “as small as a sharpened pencil tip.” The report claims a unit of the People’s Liberation Army (PLA) was tasked […]
September 24. 2018

What to Expect at UNGA 73

The 73rd session of the United Nations General Assembly (UNGA 73) opens September 18 in an era marked by growing nationalism and skepticism regarding the importance of international institutions and alliances. In advance of what is likely to be a […]
August 16. 2018

Assassinations in the Drone Age

On Saturday evening, embattled Venezuelan President Nicolas Maduro was nearing the end of his remarks to hundreds of military troops at a ceremony commemorating the 81st anniversary of the National Guard at an outdoor event in Caracas. In the middle […]
July 16. 2018

False Flags: Unpacking Conspiracy Theories

Last month, the owner of The Red Hen restaurant in Lexington, Virginia quietly refused service to White House Press Secretary Sarah Huckabee Sanders. In the age of Twitter and twenty-four-hour news cycles, owner Stephanie Wilkinson surely knew that she and […]
June 20. 2018

Who is Sam Hyde? Identifying Disinformation and Conspiracy During a Crisis Situation

Does this man look familiar?  If you follow the news, there is a good chance you’ve seen him before.   Maybe it was his photo that popped up on your feed as you watched the Santa Fe High School shooting unfold: […]